February 24th, 2014, 11:15 pm #1
Is Russia ready to take over parts of Ukraine? What should the US do?
A Russian annexation of the Crimean port of Sebastopol in Ukraine could happen within a week, a former Kremlin adviser has warned.
Likening the situation to Nazi Germany’s takeover of Austria, Andrey Illarionov said a furious Russian president Vladimir Putin is sweeping aside Western warnings and putting troops on alert.
It came amid unconfirmed claims that ousted Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych was under Russian military guard in Sebastopol, after a warrant was issued for his arrest for ‘mass murder’.
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The US government has warned the Russians to stay out of Ukraine, but it is not clear what the US could do to prevent Russia from taking over Crimea.
This area was part of Russia until the 1950s, and its population is mainly ethnic Russian. The Russian government could annex the area, but it is more likely to simply support independence of Crimea from Ukraine using protection of the Russian population as justification. It is unlikely that Ukraine could mount any real military opposition to this action.
A somewhat similar situation exists for a region called Transnistria, which is a part of Moldova that is effectively under Russian control.
What can or should the US do in response to Russia controlling parts of Ukraine?
NATO is a mutual defense treaty so, any attack on a member state would be an an attack on the US. Should NATO withdraw any consideration for membership if Ukraine ends up in border disputes with Russia or with break-away regions supported by Russia?
What are the implications for the US if Ukraine joins the EU with unresolved border issues?
February 25th, 2014, 12:03 am #16
If Crimean want to leave Ukraine and join Russia that is up to them and Ukraine to work out.
Russia will support their Independence if they declare it.
There isn't anything America can do to stop that from happen outside of pushing for Ukraine/Crimean relation to improve.Do you like handcuffs? - Stephen Harper Prime Minister of Canada.
February 25th, 2014, 12:05 am #17
February 25th, 2014, 12:08 am #18
February 25th, 2014, 12:09 am #19
We should invade and occupy ukraine to protect their right to self determination.
February 25th, 2014, 12:19 am #20
February 25th, 2014, 12:21 am #21
February 25th, 2014, 12:22 am #22
It's only self determination if the people of Ukraine are allowed to determine their own path to the future absent outside interference.
February 25th, 2014, 12:23 am #23
February 25th, 2014, 12:30 am #24
February 25th, 2014, 12:32 am #25
February 25th, 2014, 1:44 am #26
February 25th, 2014, 2:57 am #27
In that context then yes, Russian military forces would be a mistake just like US/UN forces would me a mistake. Let the Ukrainians sort out for themselves what kind of government and constitution they want.
If Rice ever hints the US would move to block or interfere with Russian military forces then I will join you in openly and loudly protesting the US mind its own damned business for once.